Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	16:05	Disney+
Armenia	23:05	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	21:05	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:05	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	16:05	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:05	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:05	beIN Connect
Chile	15:05	Disney+
China	03:05	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:05	Disney+
Croatia	21:05	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:05	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:05	Viaplay
Europe	—	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	22:05	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:05	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	23:05	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	21:05	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:05	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	22:05	Sport 5 Max
Italy	21:05	Ligue 1+
Japan	04:05	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:05	Setanta Sports
Mexico	13:05	FOX One
Netherlands	21:05	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:05	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	14:05	Disney+
Philippines	03:05	Cignal Play
Poland	21:05	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	20:05	Sport TV3
Romania	22:05	Voyo
Russia	22:05	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:05	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	21:05	Arena Sport 3
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	04:05	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:05	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:05	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	22:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	22:05	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:05	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	16:05	Disney+
Usa	15:05	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	15:05	Disney+
International	19:05	Onefootball


	Lille		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.49	4.45	6.4	Watch
	1.51	4.71	6.68
	1.49	4.59	6.18	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.51	4.85	6.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	4.59 ↑ (4.04)	6.11 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
63.6%

Draw
20.8%

Nice
15.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.4%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	8.7%	4.3%

Lille - Nice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lille (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Lille (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (40 of 45 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 98.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 18. Mbemba Ch. 23. Mandi A. 15. Perraud R. 32. Bouaddi A. 21. Andre B. (C) 17. Mukau N. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 37. Peprah K. 28. Bah J. 92. Clauss J. (C) 10. Diop S. 99. Abdul Samed S. 22. Ndombele T. 26. Bard M. 25. Cho M. 11. Wahi E.
Substitutes
4. Alexsandro 16. Bodart A. (G) 20. Edjouma N. 9. Giroud O. 8. Mbappe E. 28. Perrin G. 11. Sahraoui O. 22. Santos T. 24. Verdonk C.	2. Abdi A. 23. Bernardeau G. 32. Boudache K. 39. Coulibaly D. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 20. Louchet T. 36. Mantsounga B.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Puel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Mukau N. 🟨,
30', Mbemba Ch. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Correia F. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
56', Mukau N. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
78', Bouaddi A. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
83', Clauss J. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
83', Cho M. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
84', Ndombele T. ↓, Coulibaly D. ↑,
90', Diop S. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
90', Wahi E. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
90+7', Jansson I. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 1.

Lille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nice is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lille is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Injury) Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Ngoy N. (Yellow Cards) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Boudaoui H. (Yellow Cards) Dante (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Injury) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury) Sanson M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Nice: Vanhoutte C. (Injury)

We predict that Lille will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	5	15
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 3.71% Nice: 0.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Lille - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
12.04.26	Toulouse - Lille	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Lille - Lens	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Aston Villa - Lille	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Rennes - Lille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWLW
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
12.04.26	Nice - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Angers - Nice	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0
17.01.25	Lille - Nice	2:1
10.11.24	Nice - Lille	2:2
19.05.24	Lille - Nice	2:2
11.08.23	Nice - Lille	1:1
29.01.23	Nice - Lille	1:0
31.08.22	Lille - Nice	1:2

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