Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN 2
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
Japan	05:00	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	02:00	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN 2
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 13, M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
International	20:00	VIX App


	Aston Villa		Lille

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.75
	1.66	3.9	5
	1.78	3.75	4.75
	1.76	3.85	5.05
	1.72	3.86	4.85	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.6
	1.78	3.97	4.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.53)	3.83 ↓ (4.31)	4.86 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
55.3%

Draw
25%

Lille
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa's form might have worsened.

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.5%	17.1%	2.4%

Aston Villa - Lille Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Lille (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 60%). Lille (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 3. Lindelof V. 14. Torres P. 22. Maatsen I. 24. Onana A. 21. Douglas Luiz 19. Sancho J. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 18. Abraham T.	1. Ozer B. (G) 3. Ngoy N. 18. Mbemba Ch. 4. Alexsandro 12. Meunier T. 32. Bouaddi A. 6. Bentaleb N. 15. Perraud R. 17. Mukau N. 9. Giroud O. (C) 27. Correia F.
Substitutes
31. Bailey L. 40. Bizot M. (G) 10. Buendia E. 2. Cash M. 12. Digne L. 9. Elliott H. 16. Garcia A. 4. Konsa E. 5. Mings T. 11. Watkins O. 64. Wright J. (G)	39. Baret L. 16. Bodart A. (G) 42. Boussadia S. 35. Diaoune S. 20. Edjouma N. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 10. Haraldsson H. 60. Lanssade Z. (G) 23. Mandi A. 22. Santos T. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Emery U.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Correia F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, McGinn J. ⚽, Sancho J. (A),
56', Abraham T. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
66', Correia F. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
66', Bouaddi A. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
66', Mukau N. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
72', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
73', Alexsandro ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
74', McGinn J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
74', Bogarde L. ↓, Cash M. ↑,
81', Meunier T. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
84', Sancho J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
84', Rogers M. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Bailey L. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

Aston Villa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Inactive) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Perrin G. (Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Andre B. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
15.03.26	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Aston Villa - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
27.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Aston Villa - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLT
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Rennes - Lille	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lille - Lorient	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lille - Nantes	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	0:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.04.24	Lille - Aston Villa	2:2 penalties
11.04.24	Aston Villa - Lille	2:1

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