What is the expert prediction for Nice vs Le Havre?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Nice vs Le Havre. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Nice vs Le Havre Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, April 12, 2026)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Mexico	FOX One, Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Onefootball


	Nice		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.15	4.45	Watch
	1.97	3.4	4.41
	1.93	3.38	4.19	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.75
	2.01	3.4	4.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	4.23 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
48.8%

Draw
28.6%

Le Havre
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

30.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Le Havre aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	36.4%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nice (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 37. Peprah K. 26. Bard M. 92. Clauss J. 8. Sanson M. (C) 6. Boudaoui H. 24. Vanhoutte C. 2. Abdi A. 25. Cho M. 11. Wahi E.	99. Diaw M. (G) 13. Doucoure F. 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 15. Seko A. 26. Ebonog S. 19. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Ndiaye R. 25. Samatta A. 45. Soumare I.
Substitutes
5. Abdelmonem M. 99. Abdul Samed S. 28. Bah J. 39. Coulibaly D. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 20. Louchet T.	17. Boufal S. 8. Kechta Y. 30. Khadra R. 11. Kyeremeh G. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 7. Nego L. 32. Pembele T. 29. Zagadou S.
Coaches
Puel C.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Wahi E. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Samatta A. ⚽, Ndiaye R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Doucoure F. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Abdi A. ⚽,
70', Doucoure F. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
71', Ebonog S. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
75', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
81', Abdi A. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
81', Cho M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
85', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Nego L. ↑,
87', Samatta A. ↓, Zagadou S. ↑,
90+1', Wahi E. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Recent performances by Nice have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Le Havre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nice is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Dante (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Red Card) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Le Havre: Mambimbi F. (Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Peprah K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Soumare I. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
04.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Angers - Nice	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
Coupe De France
04.03.26	Lorient - Nice	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLW
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Le Havre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
31.08.25	Le Havre - Nice	3:1
16.02.25	Le Havre - Nice	1:3
07.12.24	Nice - Le Havre	2:1
10.05.24	Nice - Le Havre	1:0
16.12.23	Le Havre - Nice	3:1

Nice - Le Havre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide