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Lille - Real Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday
  • Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Lille Real Madrid
    Lille Real Madrid
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.21 ↓
    (5.85)    		 4.18 ↓
    (4.36)    		 1.65 ↑
    (1.55)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)
  • Network on TV: UniMás

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    Current Win Probability

    Lille
    18.5%    		Draw
    23.1%    		Real Madrid
    58.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    16.4% 21.9% 61.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    16.5% 22.1% 61.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    3.4% 2.8% 93.8%

    Lille - Real Madrid Predictions

  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (134 of 143 users predict this - 93.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.73% – 97.69%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. FranceChevalier L. (G)
    22. PortugalSantos T.
    18. FranceDiakite B.
      4. BrazilAlexsandro
      5. SwedenGudmundsson G.
    20. NetherlandsBakker M.
    32. FranceBouaddi A.
    21. FranceAndre B. (C)
    10. FranceCabella R.
    23. KosovoZhegrova E.
      9. CanadaDavid J.
    		13. UkraineLunin A. (G)
      2. SpainCarvajal D. (C)
      3. BrazilMilitao E.
    22. GermanyRudiger A.
    23. FranceMendy F.
      6. FranceCamavinga E.
    14. FranceTchouameni A.
      8. UruguayValverde F.
      5. EnglandBellingham J.
      7. BrazilVinicius Junior
    16. BrazilEndrick
    Substitutes
    39. FranceBaret L.
    27. GuineaBayo M.
    16. FranceCaillard M. (G)
    35. FranceCossier I.
    19. BelgiumFernandez-Pardo M.
    47. FranceLachaab Y.
      2. AlgeriaMandi A.
      1. ItalyMannone V. (G)
    12. BelgiumMeunier T.
    11. MoroccoSahraoui O.
    		26. SpainFran (G)
    20. SpainGarcia F.
    15. TurkeyGuler A.
    17. SpainLucas
      9. FranceMbappe K.
    34. SpainMestre S. (G)
    10. CroatiaModric L.
    31. SpainRamon J.
    11. BrazilRodrygo
    18. SpainVallejo J.
    Coaches
         FranceGenesio B.
    		     ItalyAncelotti C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 45+3', 1 - 0, David J. (Pen),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
    • 46', Endrick 🟨,
    • 57', Endrick ↓, Modric L. ↑,
    • 57', Militao E. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
    • 59', Camavinga E. 🟨,
    • 67', Camavinga E. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
    • 72', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
    • 78', Bellingham J. 🟨,
    • 79', Rudiger A. 🟨,
    • 81', Modric L. 🟨,
    • 88', Bakker M. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
    • 90+3', David J. 🟨,
    • 90+6', Diakite B. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Lille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
  • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
  • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • In this match Real is a favorite.
  • There will not play in Lille: Gomes A. (Red Card) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Mukau N. (Ankle Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Ankle Injury) Courtois T. (Muscle Injury) Diaz B. (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Real: Mbappe K. (Hamstring Injury)
  • Recently, the teams did not play each other.

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - OSC Lille
    French Ligue 1
    28.09.24 Le Havre - Lille 0:3 ✺
    21.09.24 Lille - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    17.09.24 Sporting Lisbon - Lille 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1
    13.09.24 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0 ✺
    01.09.24 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8
    WTLLL
    - Real Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga
    29.09.24 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    24.09.24 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 3:2 ✺
    21.09.24 Real Madrid - Espanyol 4:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    17.09.24 Real Madrid - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    14.09.24 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8
    TWWWW
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - OSC Lille
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Arsenal - Lille ✺
    French Ligue 1
    10.10.26 Lille - Le Havre ✺
    - Real Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Roma - Real Madrid ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Real Madrid - Villarreal ✺

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