Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	13:15	Disney+
Armenia	20:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 3
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect
China	00:15	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:15	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	10:15	Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	11:15	Disney+
Poland	17:15	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	16:15	Sport TV7
Russia	19:15	Okko Sport
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 8
South Korea	01:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	13:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	12:15	Disney+
Vietnam	23:15	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Le Havre		Lille

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.8
	4.63	3.8	1.81
	3.94	3.61	1.90	Watch
	4.85	3.78	1.78	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.99)	3.72 ↑ (3.54)	1.8 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
21.2%

Draw
25.7%

Lille
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.9%

26.9%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.5%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	10%	73.3%

Le Havre - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Lille will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lille (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Le Havre (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lille (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 13. Doucoure F. 4. Lloris G. 7. Nego L. 93. Sangante A. (C) 15. Seko A. 26. Ebonog S. 14. Ndiaye R. 18. Zouaoui Y. 11. Kyeremeh G. 45. Soumare I.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 23. Mandi A. 15. Perraud R. 32. Bouaddi A. 21. Andre B. (C) 17. Mukau N. 27. Correia F. 9. Giroud O. 11. Sahraoui O.
Substitutes
8. Kechta Y. 30. Khadra R. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 70. Samatta A. 34. Vinette E. K. 6. Youte Kinkoue E.	6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 38. Goffi A. 10. Haraldsson H. 29. Igamane H. 8. Mbappe E. 18. Mbemba Ch. 22. Santos T.
Coaches
Digard D.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Mandi A. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
45+1', Ngoy N. 🟨,
45+3', Meunier T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Bouaddi A. 🟥,
57', Giroud O. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
57', Correia F. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
64', Doucoure F. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
64', Ebonog S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
73', Sahraoui O. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
73', Mukau N. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
80', Ndiaye R. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
80', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
82', Samatta A. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Igamane H. ⚽, Mbappe E. (A),
90+1', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
90+1', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Toe Injury) Toure A. (Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury) Verdonk C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Lille: Broholm M. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lille - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 49.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Le Havre - Nantes	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Toulouse - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Le Havre - Brest	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTWW
- OSC Lille
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Lille - Dinamo Zagreb	4:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.11.25	Lille - Paris FC	4:2 ✺
09.11.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Lille - Angers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.02.25	Lille - Le Havre	1:2
28.09.24	Le Havre - Lille	0:3
17.02.24	Lille - Le Havre	3:0
01.10.23	Le Havre - Lille	0:2
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Lille - Le Havre	3:2
12.07.12	Le Havre - Lille	1:2

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