Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 14

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Metz		Rennes

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.95	1.9
	3.8	3.97	1.94
	3.57	3.67	1.98	Watch
	4.14	3.94	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.57)	3.85 ↑ (3.67)	1.91 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
25.2%

Draw
24.8%

Rennes
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.5%

25.8%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

25.7%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.7%	25.5%	61.8%

Metz - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 7 - 13.5%). Rennes will win (votes: 32 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 48.3% – 74.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Rennes (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischer J. (G) 2. Colin M. 5. Gbamin J. 15. Yegbe T. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 8. Traore B. 20. Deminguet J. 14. Sabaly C. 10. Hein G. (C) 7. Tsitaishvili G. 23. Sane I.	30. Samba B. (G) 48. Ait Boudlal A. 97. Jacquet J. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 6. Cisse D. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 7. Embolo B.
Substitutes
9. Abuashvili G. 99. Asoro J. 40. Ba O. (G) 19. Bokele Mputu M. 39. Kouao K. 11. Mbaye M. 38. Sane S. 21. Stambouli B. 12. Toure A.	10. Blas L. 4. Kamara G. 75. Legendre E. 39. Meite M. 26. Merlin Q. 18. Nagida M. 24. Rouault A. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G)
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Sabaly C. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
22', 0 - 1, Rongier V. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Frankowski P. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
62', Cisse D. ↓, Rouault A. ↑,
62', Brassier L. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
75', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
76', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Mbaye M. ↑,
76', Sane I. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
76', Lepaul E. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
88', Traore B. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.

In recent matches, Metz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rennes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Metz: Diallo H. (Hamstring Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)

There will not play in Rennes: Fofana S. (Muscle Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Meite M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:27. (average 0.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
23.11.25	Brest - Metz	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Metz - Nice	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nantes - Metz	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Metz - Lens	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lille - Metz	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWWWL
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Rennes - Monaco	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Paris FC - Rennes	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	4:1 ✺
29.10.25	Toulouse - Rennes	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.05.24	Metz - Rennes	2:3
13.08.23	Rennes - Metz	5:1
20.03.22	Rennes - Metz	6:1
17.10.21	Metz - Rennes	0:3
20.03.21	Metz - Rennes	1:3
23.12.20	Rennes - Metz	1:0
18.04.20	Rennes - Metz	Canceled

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