Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Lille		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7
	1.36	5.5	7.5
	1.4	5.5	6.85
	1.35	5.2	7.4
	1.37	5.67	7.44
	1.35	5.25	7.5
	1.38	5.85	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	5.5 ↑ (5.12)	7.34 ↑ (6.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
69.7%

Draw
17.3%

Sparta Prague
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

18.5%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

10.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-30.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	6.4%	9.3%

Lille - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (118 of 140 users predict this - 84.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.26% – 90.32%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Lille has a good chance of round of 32 (94%), has a good chance of round of 16 (57%), has a chance of qtrs (30%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Sparta Prague has a small chance of round of 32 (15%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lille won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
29.11.20	Saint-Étienne - Lille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Lille - Milan	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.11.20	Lille - Lorient	4:0 ✺
08.11.20	Brest - Lille	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Milan - Lille	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWLW
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
29.11.20	Teplice - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Sparta Prague - Celtic	4:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
22.11.20	Sparta Prague - Dynamo České Budějovice	2:4 ✺
08.11.20	Viktoria Plzeň - Sparta Prague	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Celtic - Sparta Prague	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Sparta Prague - Lille	1:4

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