Match Info

Date: 5 November 2020, Thursday


	Milan		Lille

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	4.33
	1.85	3.6	4.25
	1.83	3.6	4.65
	1.83	3.55	4.2
	1.85	3.69	4.47
	1.83	3.5	4.4
	1.91	3.74	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)	3.63 ↓ (3.88)	4.43 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
52%

Draw
26.4%

Lille
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.5%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	6.4%	7.6%

Milan - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (203 of 236 users predict this - 86.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 90.44%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Milan has a very good chance of round of 32 (96%), has a good chance of round of 16 (67%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Lille has a good chance of round of 32 (75%), has a chance of round of 16 (41%), has a chance of qtrs (22%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Milan in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lille is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Milan is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Milan to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
01.11.20	Udinese - Milan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Milan - Sparta Prague	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
26.10.20	Milan - Roma	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Celtic - Milan	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.20	Inter Milan - Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTWW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
01.11.20	Lille - Lyon	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Lille - Celtic	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.10.20	Nice - Lille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Sparta Prague - Lille	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.20	Lille - Lens	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTWW

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