Match Info

Date: 26 November 2020, Thursday


	Lille		Milan

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.6
	2.75	3.25	2.65
	2.7	3.25	2.7
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	2.81	3.26	2.7
	2.8	3.1	2.6
	2.91	3.35	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.38)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.65 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
34.5%

Draw
29.5%

Milan
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

20.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.7%	17.8%	49.5%

Lille - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 33 - 32.7%). Milan will win (votes: 50 - 49.5%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 39.7% – 59.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Lille has a very good chance of round of 32 (96%), has a good chance of round of 16 (59%), has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Milan has a good chance of round of 32 (93%), has a good chance of round of 16 (60%), has a chance of qtrs (36%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lille won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
22.11.20	Lille - Lorient	4:0 ✺
08.11.20	Brest - Lille	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Milan - Lille	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.20	Lille - Lyon	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Lille - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWTT
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
22.11.20	Napoli - Milan	1:3 ✺
08.11.20	Milan - Verona	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Milan - Lille	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.11.20	Udinese - Milan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Milan - Sparta Prague	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Milan - Lille	0:3

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