Match Info

League One - Round 21

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	2.85
	2.42	3.2	2.88
	2.72	3.4	2.69
	2.42	3.43	2.79	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.44	3.24	2.86	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.5)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
38.1%

Draw
28.6%

Cardiff City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lincoln City - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 14. McGrandles C. 8. Bayliss T. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 34. Draper F. 10. Moylan J. 17. Street R.	41. Turner M. (G) 38. Ng P. 48. Lawlor D. 2. Fish W. 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. (C) 18. Robertson A. 45. Ashford C. 8. Kellyman O. 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 20. Obikwu J. 19. Okoronkwo F. 12. Ring E. 6. Towler R. 24. Varfolomeev I.	12. Chambers C. 27. Colwill J. 39. Davies I. 44. Kpakio R. 47. Robinson C. 11. Tanner O. 14. Turnbull D.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Barry-Murphy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Hamer T. 🟨,
34', McGrandles C. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Robertson A. (Own goal),
44', Kellyman O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Ng P. ⚽, Salech Y. (A),
63', Moylan J. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
64', Draper F. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽, Bayliss T. (A),
74', Robertson A. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
74', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
80', Wickens G. 🟨,
82', Wintle R. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
86', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
87', Street R. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
90+6', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Injury) House B. (Inactive) Jackson A. (Inactive) Thorn O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Personal Reasons) Colwill R. (Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Osho G. (Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
13.12.25	Blackpool - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
09.12.25	Lincoln City - Barnsley	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	0:2 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Lincoln City - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Lincoln City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLWL
- Cardiff City
English League Cup
16.12.25	Cardiff City - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
English League One
13.12.25	Cardiff City - Doncaster Rovers	4:3 ✺
09.12.25	Stevenage Borough - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cardiff City - Huddersfield Town	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL

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