The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 47.6%
Draw 28%
Port Vale 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
28.6%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
26.7%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.3%
6.7%
0%
Lincoln City - Port Vale Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 18. House B. 14. McGrandles C. 10. Moylan J. 34. Draper F. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 20. Obikwu J.
46. Gauci J. (G) 24. Kyle John 25. Humphreys C. 4. Heneghan B. 5. Hall C. 11. Curtis R. 33. Hall G. 8. Garrity B. (C) 14. Ojo F. 9. Stockley J. 44. Cole D.
Substitutes
8. Bayliss T. 9. Collins J. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 12. Ring E. 17. Street R. 6. Towler R. 24. Varfolomeev I.
13. Amos B. (G) 10. Brown D. 7. Byers G. 22. Debrah J. 36. Faal M. 17. Paton R. 12. Walters R.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽, Reach A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Stockley J. ↓, Lamin M. ↑,
66', Obikwu J. ↓, Street R. ↑,
66', Moylan J. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
77', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
80', Draper F. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
80', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
84', Ojo F. 🟨,
89', Kyle John 🟨,
90', Street R. 🟨,
90+2', Cole D. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
90+2', Curtis R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
90+5', House B. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
Lincoln has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Port Vale is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of away games.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
Lincoln will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lincoln: Parks C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Johnson M.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Lincoln City - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.