Match Info

EFL Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Azerbaijan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Tajikistan	01:00	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	23:00	Exxen
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter


	Cardiff City		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.42	Watch
	6.4	5.4	1.43
	6.78	5.2	1.45
	6.43	5.2	1.46	Watch
	6	4.6	1.44
	6.7	5.09	1.46	Watch
	6.33	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↓ (13.67)	5 ↓ (6.73)	1.45 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
14.9%

Draw
19.1%

Chelsea
66%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

6.9%

14.1%

79%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	7.9%	76.3%

Cardiff City - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). Chelsea will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 64.2% – 91.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Cardiff (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Chelsea (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Chelsea (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chelsea (1.13) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -2.5 - Chelsea (3.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Chelsea (votes: 18 - 81.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 48. Lawlor D. 12. Chambers C. (C) 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 14. Turnbull D. 27. Colwill J. 39. Davies I. 45. Ashford C. 47. Robinson C.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 5. Badiashile B. 21. Hato J. 25. Caicedo M. (C) 17. Andrey Santos 32. George T. 40. Buonanotte F. 11. Gittens J. 38. Guiu M.
Substitutes
31. Donczew A. 2. Fish W. 49. Giles L. 28. Mafico D. 29. Nyakuhwa T. 18. Robertson A. 22. Salech Y. 41. Turner M. (G) 16. Willock C.	23. Chalobah T. 8. Fernandez E. 29. Fofana W. 49. Garnacho A. 27. Gusto M. 24. James R. 20. Joao Pedro 7. Neto P. 1. Sanchez R. (G)
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Davies I. 🟨,
27', Chambers C. 🟨,
45', Caicedo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Guiu M. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
46', George T. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
56', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
56', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Garnacho A. ⚽, Buonanotte F. (A),
66', Buonanotte F. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
66', Gittens J. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Turnbull D. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
80', Colwill J. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Neto P. ⚽, Andrey Santos (A),
84', Acheampong J. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
90', Ng P. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Garnacho A. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),

Preview

Cardiff is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelsea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelsea is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Colwill R. (Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Osho G. (Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Shoulder Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League One
13.12.25	Cardiff City - Doncaster Rovers	4:3 ✺
09.12.25	Stevenage Borough - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cardiff City - Huddersfield Town	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon	1:5 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Cardiff City - Mansfield Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
13.12.25	Chelsea - Everton	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Atalanta - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
06.12.25	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Leeds United - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
31.03.19	Cardiff City - Chelsea	1:2
15.09.18	Chelsea - Cardiff City	4:1
11.05.14	Cardiff City - Chelsea	1:2
19.10.13	Chelsea - Cardiff City	4:1

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