The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 67.3%
Draw 18.6%
Chesterfield 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
24.2%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
23.4%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesterfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-25.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86%
8.8%
5.3%
Lincoln City - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 49 - 89.1%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 1 - 1.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 80.9% – 97.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Jeacock Z. (G) 4. Montsma L. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 22. Hamer T. 6. Erhahon E. 12. Ring E. 8. Bayliss T. 28. Moylan J. 17. Duffy D. 29. Street R. 34. Draper F.
1. Thompson M. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 12. Williams T. 22. Dunkley C. 5. Grimes J. (C) 35. Jones M. 39. Aftab-Mohiuddin A. 40. Cook C. 15. Hobson B. 10. Jacobs M. 31. Drummond K.
Substitutes
9. Cadamarteri B. 3. Earley S. 26. Gallagher O. 16. Jefferies D. 35. Kamson-Kamara M. 27. Makama J. 21. Pardington J. (G)
23. Boot R. (G) 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W. 7. Mandeville L. 24. Markanday D. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Jones M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Street R. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
46', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Cook C. ⚽,
56', Aftab-Mohiuddin A. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
56', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
56', Cook C. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
60', Erhahon E. 🟨,
60', Ring E. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
64', Erhahon E. ↓, Gallagher O. ↑,
64', Duffy D. ↓, Earley S. ↑,
69', O'Connor P. 🟨,
72', Drummond K. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
72', Jacobs M. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
74', Gallagher O. 🟨,
74', Oldaker D. 🟨,
75', Bayliss T. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
80', Jefferies D. 🟨,
87', Earley S. 🟨,
Preview
Two teams are playing changeable.
Chesterfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lincoln is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
United-kingdom
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Jeacock Z. (G) 
Montsma L. 
O'Connor P. (C) 
Erhahon E. 
Ring E. 
Dunkley C. 
Jefferies D. 
Dobra A. 
Grigg W. 
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