Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)


	Lincoln City		Newcastle United U21

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.6	6
	1.42	4.5	5.6
	1.39	4.7	6
	1.44	4.85	6.16
	1.42	4.2	6
	1.41	4.65	5.9
	1.39	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.66)	4.6 ↑ (3.85)	5.95 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
64.9%

Draw
19.8%

Newcastle United U21
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.

Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Lincoln City - Newcastle United U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Newcastle U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Newcastle U21 have a series of guest games.

In this match Lincoln is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
15.10.22	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Lincoln City - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
English League One
17.09.22	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTLLW
- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League 2
14.10.22	Aston Villa U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:2 ✺
30.09.22	Middlesbrough U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Barnsley - Newcastle United U21	2:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
16.09.22	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Doncaster Rovers - Newcastle United U21	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTLWL

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