Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Lincoln City		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	3.75
	1.98	3.4	3.6
	1.88	3.7	3.7
	1.9	3.8	3.65	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	1.9	3.52	3.89	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)	3.6 ↑ (3.34)	3.68 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
48.8%

Draw
25.9%

Peterborough United
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

29.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Lincoln City - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 6. Towler R. 2. Darikwa T. (C) 14. McGrandles C. 24. Varfolomeev I. 3. Reach A. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F.	1. Bass A. (G) 30. Kioso P. 12. Lees T. 29. O'Connor T. 2. Johnston C. (C) 4. Collins A. 8. Khela B. 11. Frith D. 28. Garbett M. 17. Lisbie K. 27. Leonard H.
Substitutes
13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 4. Montsma L. 10. Moylan J. 20. Obikwu J. 19. Okoronkwo F. 12. Ring E.	39. Aderoju O. 41. Bilokapic N. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 18. Hayes C. 19. Lindgren G. 15. Nevett G. 22. O'Brien-Brady D.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Leonard H. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽, Darikwa T. (A),
37', Collins A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Draper F. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Darikwa T. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽, Khela B. (A),
57', 4 - 2, Reach A. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
60', Frith D. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
61', Lisbie K. 🟨,
65', Draper F. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
65', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
70', Towler R. 🟨,
74', Garbett M. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
74', Khela B. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
79', Reach A. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
83', Leonard H. 🟨,
86', Street R. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
87', Obikwu J. 🟨,
90+1', 5 - 2, Darikwa T. ⚽, Hamer T. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.

Lincoln is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peterborough is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Injury) House B. (Inactive) Jackson A. (Inactive) Thorn O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Inactive) Mills H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Peterborough: Okagbue D. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of English League One for now

Peterborough: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	Peterborough	8	1	2	5	4:13	-9	5

Last Results with these Odds

Lincoln City - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.42%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
01.01.26	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Barnsley - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Stockport County - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Lincoln City - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Blackpool - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWWT
- Peterborough United
English League One
01.01.26	Rotherham United - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Peterborough United - Reading	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Port Vale - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.09.25	Peterborough United - Lincoln City	0:3
25.01.25	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	5:1
14.09.24	Peterborough United - Lincoln City	1:1
27.01.24	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	0:0
07.10.23	Peterborough United - Lincoln City	2:0
18.03.23	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	0:3
20.08.22	Peterborough United - Lincoln City	4:0

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