Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV, Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Linfield		Nõmme Kalju

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.75	Watch
	1.53	3.90	5.50
	1.52	3.7	5.9	Watch
	1.54	3.97	5.69
	1.48	4.25	6.47
	1.49	3.85	5.6
	1.62	4.23	5.02	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.95)	3.98 ↑ (3.17)	5.59 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linfield
60.3%

Draw
23.2%

Nõmme Kalju
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linfield's performance.

Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme Kalju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83%	7.5%	9.4%

Linfield - Nõmme Kalju Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Linfield (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Users Predictions: Linfield will win (44 of 52 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 94.43%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 4. Nolan R. 5. Shields C. (C) 15. Hall B. 27. McGee E. 16. Wells D. 10. Frizzell A. 8. McClean K. 33. Leahy D. 7. Millar K. 29. Fitzpatrick M.	1. Perk H. (C) 78. Mashchenko D. 50. Podholjuzin M. 46. Vukusic R. 22. Nikolajev A. 26. Siht R. 8. Musolitin O. 20. Tambedou M. 59. Vastsuk B. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 21. Baptista T.
Substitutes
26. Baird I. 24. Brown S. 66. Chapman C. 18. Glavin A. (G) 70. Graham J. 74. Jermakovas D. 34. McCullough D. 37. McKay R. 30. Moore K. 9. Offord K.	4. Borolinstsikov A. 9. Godwin C. 52. Idalecio 10. Ivanov N. 30. Jabir I. 96. Kindel J. (G) 5. Korre U. 11. Orlov M. 88. Sotsugov D. 7. Tarassenkov D.
Coaches
Healy D.	Artjunin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, McGee E. ⚽, Frizzell A. (A),
12', Fitzpatrick M. 🟨,
26', McGee E. 🟥,
27', Musolitin O. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 1 - 1, Musolitin O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wells D. ↓, McCullough D. ↑,
46', Frizzell A. ↓, Offord K. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Offord K. ⚽, Fitzpatrick M. (A),
62', Musolitin O. 🟨,
63', Lotar Eyang E. E. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
65', Nolan R. 🟨,
73', Baptista T. ↓, Ivanov N. ↑,
73', Mashchenko D. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Orlov M. ⚽, Vukusic R. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Nõmme Kalju has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nõmme Kalju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Linfield is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Linfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linfield FC
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Linfield - Aberdeen	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Nõmme Kalju - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Linfield - Kilmarnock	2:3 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
12.05.26	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Nõmme Kalju FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Nõmme Kalju - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
03.07.26	Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Nõmme Kalju - Linfield	1:0

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