Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Liverpool		Everton

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.55	4.4	5.9
	1.54	4.5	6.5
	1.03	17.49	31.82	Watch
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.54	4.71	6.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	6.74 ↑ (4.88)	10.71 ↑ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
74.4%

Draw
15.7%

Everton
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

19.6%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

18.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liverpool's performance.

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.3%	9.1%	2.6%

Liverpool - Everton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -2 - Liverpool (4.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Everton (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Liverpool (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Liverpool (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Liverpool (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Liverpool (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (64 of 71 users predict this - 90.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.21% – 97.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 35 - 89.7%). Everton (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 12. Bradley C. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 18. Gakpo C. 22. Ekitike H.	1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 27. Gueye I. 37. Garner J. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 9. Beto
Substitutes
3. Endo W. 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. 9. Isak A. 17. Jones C. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 26. Robertson A. 7. Wirtz F.	24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 11. Barry T. 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 7. McNeil D. 2. Patterson N. 12. Travers M. (G)
Coaches
Slot A.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Gravenberch R. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
28', Ndiaye I. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Ekitike H. ⚽, Gravenberch R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Beto ↓, Barry T. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Gueye I. ⚽, Ndiaye I. (A),
61', Gakpo C. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
61', Mac Allister A. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
67', Ekitike H. ↓, Isak A. ↑,
69', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,
78', Moyes D. 🟨,
78', Dewsbury-Hall K. 🟨,
82', Wirtz F. 🟨,
86', Ndiaye I. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
86', Mykolenko V. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
90+4', Grealish J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3.

Liverpool is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Everton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Liverpool is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Jones C. (Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury)

We predict that Liverpool will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 1.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
14.09.25	Burnley - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
15.08.25	Liverpool - Bournemouth	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW
- Everton
English Premier League
13.09.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Everton - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Leeds United - Everton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.04.25	Liverpool - Everton	1:0
12.02.25	Everton - Liverpool	2:2
24.04.24	Everton - Liverpool	2:0
21.10.23	Liverpool - Everton	2:0
13.02.23	Liverpool - Everton	2:0
03.09.22	Everton - Liverpool	0:0
24.04.22	Liverpool - Everton	2:0

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