Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Benin	15:00	Benin TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Botswana	16:00	YTV
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	15:00	CRTV Sports
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
China	22:00	Migu, ZhiBo8
Cote D Ivoire	14:00	NCI
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Eswatini	—	Eswatini TV
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 8
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Guinea	14:00	CIS
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	16:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	21:00	Moji, Vidio
Israel	17:00	Sport 1
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	17:00	Gotv, K24
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mauritius	18:00	MBC 11
Mexico	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Mongolia	22:00	Premier Sports 1
Myanmar	20:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	15:00	NTA Sports, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 2
Seyshelles	18:00	SBC
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 6
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	16:00	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 1
Tanzania	17:00	UTV
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Uganda	17:00	NBS Sport 1
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
International	14:00	Daystar Pacific, Sport 24
Zambia	16:00	ZNBC 1


	Everton		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.8
	2.37	3.3	2.95
	2.52	3.3	2.9
	2.43	3.44	3.02
	2.63	2.42	3.69	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.88
	2.72	3.13	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.48)	3.11 ↓ (3.38)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Everton
37.5%

Draw
30.7%

Aston Villa
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	22.9%	27.1%

Everton - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 24 - 50%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 13 - 27.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 35.9% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Aston Villa (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Everton (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Everton (1.43) (votes: 1 - 33.3%) .

AH +0.5 - Aston Villa (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 9 - 36%). Aston Villa (votes: 12 - 48%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 37. Garner J. 42. Iroegbunam T. 27. Gueye I. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 9. Beto	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 5. Mings T. 12. Digne L. 26. Bogarde L. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 11. Barry T. 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 7. McNeil D. 2. Patterson N. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)	40. Bizot M. (G) 9. Elliott H. 29. Guessand E. 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 17. Malen D. 52. Proctor S. (G) 19. Sancho J. 14. Torres P.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Cash M. 🟨,
45+1', Iroegbunam T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tielemans Y. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
57', Digne L. 🟨,
65', Dewsbury-Hall K. 🟨,
66', Iroegbunam T. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
69', Grealish J. 🟨,
70', Buendia E. 🟨,
71', Buendia E. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
75', Beto ↓, Barry T. ↑,
83', Watkins O. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
83', Bogarde L. ↓, Lindelof V. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.

Everton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aston Villa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Patterson N. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Everton: Aznou A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Cash M. (Knock) Kamara B. (Hamstring Injury) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Everton won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
30.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Everton - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Leeds United - Everton	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Everton - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
31.08.25	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Villarreal - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.01.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:1
14.09.24	Aston Villa - Everton	3:2
14.01.24	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0
English League Cup
27.09.23	Aston Villa - Everton	1:2
English Premier League
20.08.23	Aston Villa - Everton	4:0
25.02.23	Everton - Aston Villa	0:2
13.08.22	Aston Villa - Everton	2:1

Upcoming Matches