Match Info

Date: 24 November 2021, Wednesday


	Liverpool		Porto

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.2
	1.8	3.9	4
	1.81	4	4.5
	1.78	4	4.2
	1.87	3.9	4.32
	1.75	4	4.33
	1.76	4.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.88)	3.97 ↑ (3.87)	4.31 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
53.5%

Draw
24.2%

Porto
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	11.6%	3%

Liverpool - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (199 of 233 users predict this - 85.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.88% – 89.94%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Liverpool has currently - 12, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (79%), has a chance of semis (50%), has a chance of final (29%), has a small chance of win league (15%).

Porto has currently - 5, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (48%), has a good chance of 3rd (51%), has a chance of round of 16 (48%), has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Liverpool will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
20.11.21	Liverpool - Arsenal	4:0 ✺
07.11.21	West Ham United - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.11.21	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
30.10.21	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.10.21	Preston North End - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWTW
- FC Porto
Taça de Portugal
20.11.21	Porto - Feirense	5:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.11.21	Santa Clara - Porto	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.11.21	Milan - Porto	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
30.10.21	Porto - Boavista	4:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
26.10.21	Santa Clara - Porto	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
28.09.21	Porto - Liverpool	1:5
17.04.19	Porto - Liverpool	1:4
09.04.19	Liverpool - Porto	2:0
06.03.18	Liverpool - Porto	0:0
14.02.18	Porto - Liverpool	0:5

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