Match Info

Date: 3 November 2021, Wednesday


	Milan		Porto

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75
	1.9	3.7	3.9
	2.04	3.6	3.85
	1.99	3.65	3.65
	2.01	3.73	3.89
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.98	3.84	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)	3.67 ↑ (3.48)	3.81 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
48.7%

Draw
26.1%

Porto
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

21.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	11%	10.4%

Milan - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (143 of 182 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.61% – 84.53%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Milan has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (4%), has a small chance of 3rd (14%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Porto has currently - 4, has a very small chance of 1st (2%), has a chance of 2nd (36%), has a chance of 3rd (50%), has a chance of round of 16 (38%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Milan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
31.10.21	Roma - Milan	1:2 ✺
26.10.21	Milan - Torino	1:0 ✺
23.10.21	Bologna - Milan	2:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.10.21	Porto - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.10.21	Milan - Verona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
30.10.21	Porto - Boavista	4:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
26.10.21	Santa Clara - Porto	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
23.10.21	Tondela - Porto	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.10.21	Porto - Milan	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.21	Sintrense - Porto	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.10.21	Porto - Milan	1:0

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