Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
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Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
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Venezuela	Disney+


	Liverpool		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.1	4.75	Watch
	2.00	3.70	3.25
	1.7	4.05	4.4	Watch
	1.71	4.3	4.65
	1.7	4.18	4.44	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.5
	1.72	4.25	4.65	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.77)	4.12 ↓ (4.13)	4.38 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
55.3%

Draw
23.1%

Tottenham Hotspur
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

22.9%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Tottenham (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Liverpool (1.96) (votes: 84%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 50%). Tottenham (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 30. Frimpong J. 33. Araujo R. 2. Gomez J. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 42. Nyoni T. 10. Mac Allister A. 73. Ngumoha R. 53. McConnell J. 18. Gakpo C. 67. Koumas L.	39. Dubravka M. (G) 14. Gray A. (C) 4. Adarabioyo T. 5. Senesi M. 13. Udogie D. 30. Bentancur R. 15. Bergvall L. 20. Kudus M. 8. Gallagher C. 11. Tel M. 22. Marmoush O.
Substitutes
1. Alisson (G) 29. Barcola B. 44. Chambers L. 3. Endo W. 38. Gravenberch R. 9. Isak A. 5. Jacquet J. 23. Munoz V. 8. Szoboszlai D.	33. Davies B. 18. Fernandes M. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 10. Maddison J. 3. Robertson A. 17. Savio 19. Solanke D. 37. van de Ven M. 6. van Hecke J. P.
Coaches
Iraola A.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Mac Allister A. ⚽,
36', Araujo R. 🟨,
40', Frimpong J. 🟨,
41', Marmoush O. 🟨,
45+3', Bentancur R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gomez J. ↓, Jacquet J. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Gakpo C. ⚽, Mac Allister A. (A),
57', Bentancur R. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
57', Udogie D. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
62', Nyoni T. ↓, Gravenberch R. ↑,
62', McConnell J. ↓, Szoboszlai D. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Gallagher C. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
72', Ngumoha R. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
75', Kerkez M. 🟨,
75', Kudus M. ↓, Savio ↑,
75', Gallagher C. ↓, Maddison J. ↑,
85', Tel M. ↓, Solanke D. ↑,
86', Koumas L. ↓, Isak A. ↑,
90', Iraola A. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Szoboszlai D. ⚽, Gakpo C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3.

Liverpool is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tottenham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Chiesa F. (Back Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Mudryk M. (Ankle Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Porro P. (Muscle Injury) Richarlison (Transfer negotiations) Simons X. (Knee Injury) Tonali S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:25. (average 2.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 2.7:1.3).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Liverpool: 11.5%

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 53.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
12.09.26	Liverpool - Fulham	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
04.09.26	Ipswich Town - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWWTT
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
12.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Charlton Athletic	5:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.03.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
20.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:2
27.04.25	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	5:1
English League Cup
06.02.25	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	4:0
08.01.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:0
English Premier League
22.12.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	3:6
05.05.24	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	4:2

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