Match Info

Premiership - Round 20

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)


	Livingston		Dundee United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.28	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.58	3.29	2.77	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.41	3.22	2.93	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.47)	3.24 ↑ (3.17)	3.04 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
40.2%

Draw
29%

Dundee United
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Livingston - Dundee United Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livingston: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Livingston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Livingston (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Livingston (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 19. Finlayson D. 5. McGowan R. (C) 27. Wilson D. 26. Montano C. 8. Pittman S. 25. Tait M. 24. Sylla M. 15. Smith L. 18. Bokila J. 17. May S.	25. Richards D. (G) 37. Cleall-Harding S. 3. Esselink B. 23. Keresztes K. 22. Naamo D. 21. Stephenson L. 14. Sibbald C. 11. Ferry W. (C) 9. Sapsford Z. 34. Stirton O. 7. Trapanovski K.
Substitutes
30. Brenet J. 40. Lawal S. 11. McLennan C. 9. Muirhead R. 35. Myles E. (G) 22. Shinnie A. 7. Susoho M. 16. Winter A. 39. Yengi T.	31. Adams R. (G) 39. Constable S. 19. Dolcek I. 10. Eskesen J. 17. Fatah A. 4. Iovu I. 77. Moller N. 5. Sevelj V. 36. Watters M.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Goodwin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Sapsford Z. ⚽,
45', Finlayson D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Tait M. 🟨,
59', Sylla M. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
59', May S. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
60', Smith L. ↓, McLennan C. ↑,
64', Bokila J. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
70', Pittman S. ↓, Brenet J. ↑,
70', Stirton O. ↓, Fatah A. ↑,
70', Naamo D. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
75', Sapsford Z. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
79', McLennan C. 🟨,
82', Trapanovski K. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
84', Susoho M. 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, McGowan R. (Own goal),
90', 0 - 3, Fatah A. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, McLennan C. ⚽, Montano C. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 1.

Livingston has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dundee Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dundee Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S. (Calf Injury) Denholm A. (Hamstring Injury) Kerr C. (Muscle Injury) Montgomery A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Dundee Utd: Graham R. (Injury) Pappoe I. (Knee Injury) Strain R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dundee Utd: Camara P. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Premier League
27.12.25	Livingston - Celtic	2:4 ✺
20.12.25	St. Mirren - Livingston	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Livingston - Dundee	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Motherwell - Livingston	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Livingston - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Dundee United
Scottish Premier League
27.12.25	Aberdeen - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Dundee United - Hibernian	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Dundee United - Celtic	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Dundee United - Motherwell	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	St. Mirren - Dundee United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
04.10.25	Dundee United - Livingston	1:1
20.05.23	Livingston - Dundee United	2:1
22.04.23	Dundee United - Livingston	2:0
08.03.23	Livingston - Dundee United	1:1
Scottish League Cup
31.08.22	Livingston - Dundee United	1:2
Scottish Premier League
07.08.22	Dundee United - Livingston	0:1
02.03.22	Livingston - Dundee United	2:1

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