Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Livorno		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.2	1.75
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.75	3.25	1.67
	4.2	3.05	1.81
	4.88	3.31	1.79
	4.6	3.4	1.75
	4.36	3.42	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↓ (4.78)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
20.4%

Draw
28%

Pro Vercelli
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

27.2%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

21.4%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livorno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Vercelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Livorno - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Livorno is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pro Vercelli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pro Vercelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pro Vercelli is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Livorno won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	Pontedera - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.03.21	Livorno - Grosseto	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Carrarese - Livorno	4:2 ✺
07.03.21	Giana Erminio - Livorno	1:0 ✺
04.03.21	Livorno - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLL
- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
22.03.21	Pro Vercelli - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
17.03.21	Pro Sesto - Pro Vercelli	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Pro Vercelli - Como	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Pistoiese - Pro Vercelli	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.12.20	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	0:2
Italian Serie B
26.03.16	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	0:1
07.11.15	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	1:0
11.04.15	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	3:3
16.11.14	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	3:1
Club Friendly
07.08.14	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	0:2
Italian Serie B
02.02.13	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	2:0

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