Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Llandudno		Gap Connahs Quay

	1	X	2
	5.15	4.35	1.46
	2.55	3.15	2.70	Watch
	5.86	4.15	1.45
	5.11	4.06	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↓ (6.15)	3.93 ↓ (4.3)	1.77 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llandudno
20.7%

Draw
24.6%

Gap Connahs Quay
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21.6%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

19.6%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llandudno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llandudno's performance.

Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gap Connahs Quay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llandudno than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Llandudno - Gap Connahs Quay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Maher B. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Weaver R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, Roberts D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llandudno won 1.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Connahs Quay is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Llandudno won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Llandudno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llandudno FC
Welsh Cymru North
07.11.25	Denbigh Town - Llandudno	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
04.11.25	Newtown - Llandudno	3:6 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
31.10.25	Llandudno - Airbus UK Broughton	5:0 ✺
24.10.25	Buckley Town - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Llandudno - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.11.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Gap Connahs Quay	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County	3:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Bala Town - Gap Connahs Quay	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.10.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Gap Connahs Quay	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
06.08.21	Gap Connahs Quay - Llandudno	2:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.12.18	Gap Connahs Quay - Llandudno	3:0
22.09.18	Llandudno - Gap Connahs Quay	0:4
21.10.17	Gap Connahs Quay - Llandudno	1:1
26.08.17	Llandudno - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0
13.11.16	Llandudno - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2
20.09.16	Gap Connahs Quay - Llandudno	1:1

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