Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Gap Connahs Quay

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.20	1.42
	5.9	4.15	1.45
	5.81	4.4	1.47
	5.9	4.35	1.49	Watch
	5.65	4.3	1.44
	6.28	4.2	1.41
	5.8	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (4.88)	4.26 ↑ (3.83)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
15.5%

Draw
21.4%

Gap Connahs Quay
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

23.6%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Gap Connahs Quay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Briton Ferry won 2.

Briton Ferry has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Connahs Quay shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The betting markets point to Connahs Quay as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Briton Ferry has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:14 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Briton Ferry against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:8 goals (averaging 0.7:2.7 per game).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Connahs Q.: 3.14% Briton Ferry: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.10.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Holywell Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Pen-y-Bont - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTLL
- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.10.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:4 ✺
18.09.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Airbus UK Broughton	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
21.12.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	4:2
11.10.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Gap Connahs Quay	0:3
29.03.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0
08.02.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:1
27.10.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1
31.08.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Gap Connahs Quay	1:5

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Gap Connahs Quay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide