Match Info

WALES: FA Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Central Park (Denbigh)


	Denbigh Town		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	3.95	4	1.67
	3.88	3.88	1.69
	3.96	4.31	1.66	Watch
	4.3	4.3	1.53
	3.81	4.22	1.72
	3.95	4	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.71)	4.12 ↓ (4.6)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
22.9%

Draw
22.1%

Llanelli
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

19.8%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

19.2%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Denbigh Town - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jones A. (G) 5. Beaumont B. 7. Brown N. 9. Davies O. 10. Duffy S. 2. Flanders D. 3. Jones S. 4. Lockley B. 8. Pownall J. 11. Roberts I. 6. Roberts K. (C)	1. Coughlan S. (G) 9. Cann E. 4. Cronin S. 16. Gerrard L. 15. Gibbings B. 8. Hopkins J. 2. Jones T. 7. Lloyd J. 17. Strinati C. 20. Wharton T. 19. Williams D.
Substitutes
12. Butler C. 15. Clarke D. 17. Salisbury T. 16. Vaughan A. 14. Wynne James S.	14. Giardelli A. 10. Jones H. 3. Lester J. 6. Rees K. 5. Tancock S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 🟨,
60', Jones S. ↓, Vaughan A. ↑,
70', Gerrard L. ↓, Rees K. ↑,
76', Roberts K. ↓, Clarke D. ↑,
86', 🟨,
88', Cann E. ↓, Giardelli A. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 1, Giardelli A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Denbigh Town is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llanelli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Llanelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Denbigh Town have a series of home games.

In this match Llanelli is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
07.02.25	Llandudno - Denbigh Town	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Denbigh Town - Penrhyncoch	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	3:2 ✺
04.01.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	2:4 ✺
26.12.24	Denbigh Town - Ruthin Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWLT
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
08.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Llanelli - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Newport City - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Llanelli - Llantwit Major	2:0 ✺
10.01.25	Afan Lido - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW

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