Match Info

Cymru South - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Caerau Ely		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	3.8
	1.78	3.72	3.9
	1.81	3.68	4.07	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.8
	1.77	3.6	3.87
	1.75	3.66	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)	3.59 ↓ (3.63)	3.87 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
51.3%

Draw
25.3%

Ammanford
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Caerau Ely - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Davies H. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, John D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Parker T. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Parker T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 2.

Caerau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ammanford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caerau is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Caerau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caerau Ely	9	5	1	3	21:18	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh FA Cup
31.01.26	Bangor 1876 - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
23.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:5 ✺
16.01.26	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Newport City - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
02.01.26	Caerau Ely - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTW
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
23.01.26	Ammanford - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
09.01.26	Pontypridd United - Ammanford	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Ammanford - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
05.09.25	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	3:2
17.01.25	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	2:1
08.11.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	0:2
29.03.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	1:1
12.08.23	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	1:2
20.09.19	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	2:1

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