Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)

Referee: Walker J. (Wal)


	Llanelli		Caernarfon Town

	1	X	2
	8.1	5.3	1.29
	8.9	5.84	1.28
	8.35	5.75	1.29	Watch
	8.4	5	1.28
	7.6	5.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.27 ↓ (8.35)	5.46 ↓ (5.75)	1.29 (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
11.2%

Draw
17%

Caernarfon Town
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

16.3%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Llanelli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Llanelli - Caernarfon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caernarfon will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pennock A. (G) 2. Bright H. 9. Cann E. 4. Cronin S. 6. Hopkins J. 11. Jenkins T. 20. Lester J. 7. Lloyd J. 16. Norris J. 14. Parsons S. S. 23. Sanca N.	1. Roberts C. (G) 12. Abadaki O. 19. Bradley S. 9. Davies A. 17. Downey S. 24. Harrison K. 3. Jones M. 6. Lewis I. 7. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 27. Sears R.
Substitutes
22. Baker J. 17. Booth R. 21. Evans M. 15. Gibbings B. 12. Lewis M. (G) 3. Parry J. 19. Williams D.	39. Ellis O. 21. Evans C. 23. Lock J. 2. Owen M. 15. Smith D. 13. Thomas H. (G) 33. Williams C.
Coaches
John L.	Davies R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Norris J. ⚽,
27', Cronin S. 🟨,
31', Harrison K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Downey S. ↓, Lock J. ↑,
54', Lloyd J. 🟨,
57', Davies A. 🟨,
61', Jenkins T. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
68', Hopkins J. 🟨,
70', Sears R. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
70', Davies A. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
70', Bright H. ↓, Evans M. ↑,
85', Mooney P. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Lock J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Llanelli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Llanelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caernarfon is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Llanelli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.11.25	Colwyn Bay - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Bala Town - Llanelli	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Llanelli - The New Saints	0:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.10.25	Flint Town United - Llanelli	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.11.25	Caernarfon Town - Haverfordwest County	2:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
04.11.25	The New Saints - Caernarfon Town	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.11.25	Caernarfon Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
16.08.25	Caernarfon Town - Llanelli	6:1
01.12.18	Llanelli - Caernarfon Town	2:2
22.09.18	Caernarfon Town - Llanelli	3:0

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