Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Oval (Caernarfon)

Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)


	Caernarfon Town		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.5	7.9
	1.38	5.50	5.57	Watch
	1.24	5.3	9.55
	1.3	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	5.41 ↓ (5.5)	7.76 ↑ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caernarfon Town
71.1%

Draw
17.1%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

16.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

15.7%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Caernarfon Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 9. Davies A. 24. Harrison K. 3. Jones M. 6. Lewis I. 23. Lock J. 5. Mooney P. 2. Owen M. 27. Sears R. (C) 15. Smith D.	13. Fuller W. (G) 22. Bates M. 23. Fanning J. 11. Hurford C. 15. Jefferies D. 3. Jenkins K. 12. Owen R. 21. Packer D. 8. Price T. 19. Smith C. 9. Walters T.
Substitutes
12. Abadaki O. 39. Ellis O. 21. Evans C. 40. Griffith C. 22. Roberts H. 10. Thomas D. 13. Thomas H. (G)	20. Anderson O. 17. Bevan R. 24. Dyer R. 5. Evans K. 18. George R. 14. Sage E.
Coaches
Davies R.	Dyer A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Hurford C. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Bradley S. (Pen),
29', Mooney P. 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, Davies A. ⚽,
34', Walters T. 🟨,
35', Jenkins K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Smith C. ↓, Sage E. ↑,
63', Packer D. ↓, George R. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Bradley S. (Pen),
67', Hurford C. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
73', Price T. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
74', Bates M. 🟨,
85', Lock J. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
85', Bates M. ↓, Dyer R. ↑,
85', Jefferies D. ↓, Bevan R. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90', Bradley S. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 1, Mooney P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Briton Ferry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Briton Ferry has had a series of home games.

In this match, Caernarfon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Caernarfon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
25.10.25	Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town	2:2 ✺
07.10.25	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLL
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
25.10.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Colwyn Bay	0:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Pen-y-Bont	0:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.10.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Gap Connahs Quay	0:3 ✺
07.10.25	Barry Town United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Pen-y-Bont	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
13.09.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town	2:5
09.11.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town	0:1
14.09.24	Caernarfon Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:2

Upcoming Matches