Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 10h 40m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña (Mieres) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	20:00	DAZN France


	Llanera		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.57
	4.75	4.20	1.65
	4.7	3.85	1.58
	4.25	3.75	1.62
	4.59	3.95	1.67	Watch
	4.35	3.7	1.61
	4.94	3.9	1.64
	4.7	3.9	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.28)	3.91 ↓ (3.98)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanera
19.7%

Draw
23.5%

Ponferradina
56.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21%

22.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

21.8%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Llanera - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ponferradina carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Llanera - the odds 4.28 are the expected chance of winning is 20.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.10.26	Llanera - Compostela	1:3 ✺
18.10.26	Arosa - Llanera	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	Llanera - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ✺
03.10.26	Basconia - Llanera	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Llanera - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWTW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.26	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Zamora - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Ponferradina - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ponferradina - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Pontevedra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLWT

Llanera - Ponferradina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide