Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Llaneros SA		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	2	Watch
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.95	2.98	2.08	Watch
	4.3	2.97	2.11
	4.15	2.96	2.06	Watch
	3.9	2.88	2.05
	4.12	2.86	2.08	Watch
	4	2.9	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.42)	2.94 ↓ (3.05)	2.07 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
23.1%

Draw
31.8%

Atlético Bucaramanga
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

30.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llaneros SA's form might have worsened.

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Bucaramanga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega M. (G) 29. Riascos L. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 21. Meza F. (C) 94. Medranda J. 5. Restrepo E. 33. Kelvin Osorio 95. Jhon Vasquez 6. Sierra M. 19. Mantilla D. 9. Cortes C.	1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 3. Rea M. 2. Mena J. (C) 8. Hinestroza F. 21. Charrupi F. 20. Zarate A. 17. Gil Mosquera F. A. 10. Sambueza F. 7. Londono K. 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
17. Benitez B. 15. Blanco J. 35. Caicedo K. 99. Castro J. 14. Laszo E. 3. Mesalles Vidal V. (G) 23. Moralez A. 8. Ramirez J. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G)	9. Caicedo B. 28. Flores L. 4. Garcia J. 14. Mosquera J. 23. Romana C. 11. Salazar J. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Garcia J.	Alvarez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Cortes C. ⚽, Medranda J. (A),
34', Cortes C. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Pons L. ⚽,
45+1', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Restrepo E. 🟨,
60', Restrepo E. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
62', Londono K. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
62', Zarate A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
69', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Caicedo K. ↑,
78', Cortes C. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
78', Sierra M. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
79', Riascos L. ↓, Moralez A. ↑,
79', Gutierrez A. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
79', Sambueza F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
85', Mantilla D. 🟨,
90+4', Meza F. 🟨,

Preview

Bucaramanga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bucaramanga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	20:10	10	23
12	Llaneros	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
16.01.26	Deportivo Pereira - Llaneros SA	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Llaneros SA - Envigado	0:3 ✺
07.11.25	Deportes Tolima - Llaneros SA	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
17.01.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
25.10.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Llaneros SA	2:0
03.05.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1

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