Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Referee: Delgado L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Llaneros SA		Envigado

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.7	Watch
	1.72	3.67	4.68
	1.74	3.38	4.65	Watch
	1.74	3.48	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.53 ↑ (3.38)	4.8 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
54.2%

Draw
26.4%

Envigado
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

27.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Envigado aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Llaneros SA - Envigado Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Llaneros SA will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Llaneros SA will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega M. (G) 4. Mojica A. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 23. Mina Chara J. E. 16. Escobar Salcedo J. 6. Sierra M. 8. Lopez A. 10. Uruena B. 7. Miranda L. 19. Mantilla D. 30. Cortes C.	88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 27. Quejada J. 3. Holguin J. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 6. Palacio J. 21. Lopez E. 31. Berrio F. 34. Diaz L. 18. Hurtado W.
Substitutes
20. Angulo J. 18. Angulo J. 24. Bodencer E. 99. Castro J. 3. Castro L. 70. Goez Y. 12. Loaiza J. (G) 13. Ospina N. 5. Restrepo E.	. Chalarca A. 15. Cuervo S. 7. Dawson D. 11. Garces J. 14. Hinestroza J. 38. Marulanda M. 1. Montoya J. (G) 5. Norena S. 29. Zapata D.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Orozco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Lopez E. ⚽, Uribe N. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Lopez E. ⚽, Hurtado W. (A),
30', Lopez A. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
30', Mojica A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
38', Miranda L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ortega M. ↓, Loaiza J. ↑,
46', Tovar A. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
46', Diaz L. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
52', Garces J. (Pen),
56', Mina Chara J. E. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
63', Hurtado W. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
63', Espana Alvarez R. C. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Dawson D. ⚽, Gamboa Valencia J. J. (A),
77', Cortes C. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
81', Sierra M. 🟨,
82', Lopez E. ↓, Chalarca A. ↑,
82', Uribe N. 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Llaneros SA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Envigado's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llaneros SA is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
07.11.25	Deportes Tolima - Llaneros SA	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Llaneros SA - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLLWW
- Envigado FC
Colombian Copa
10.11.25	Independiente Medellín - Envigado	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
07.11.25	Envigado - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
03.11.25	Envigado - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Envigado - Boyacá Chicó	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
24.05.25	Envigado - Llaneros SA	1:2

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