Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Llaneros SA		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.62	3.45	5.9	Watch
	1.62	3.5	6.64
	1.37	4.17	9.88	Watch
	1.85	3	4.8
	1.64	3.4	6.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.43 ↑ (3.27)	6.38 ↑ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
57.6%

Draw
27.6%

Boyacá Chicó
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

28.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

27.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Llaneros SA aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Llaneros SA - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Boyacá Chicó (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Llaneros SA (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega M. (G) 31. Montes G. 21. Meza F. (C) 20. Angulo J. 16. Escobar Salcedo J. 6. Sierra M. 10. Uruena B. 8. Lopez A. 17. Benitez B. 18. Angulo 24. Bodencer E.	23. Denis D. (C) 2. Salas F. 19. Cortes K. 26. Banguero A. 24. Valencia A. A. 4. Peralta E. 18. Johan Bocanegra 17. Ampudia J. 22. Londono K. 7. Arango E. 9. Molina J.
Substitutes
30. Cortes C. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 7. Miranda L. 9. Rangel M. 5. Restrepo E. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 14. Sierra C.	6. Aedo A. 1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 28. Camargo E. 30. Gomez M. 16. Hernandez V. 5. Jordan J. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Johan Bocanegra 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽, Meza F. (A),
42', Benitez B. 🟨,
45+3', Cortes K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Valencia A. A. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
46', Salas F. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
46', Cortes K. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Montes G. ⚽,
63', Meza F. ↓, Mena Posada H. H. ↑,
63', Benitez B. ↓, Sierra C. ↑,
64', Bodencer E. ↓, Cortes C. ↑,
64', Molina J. ↓, Hernandez V. ↑,
69', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
74', Lopez A. ↓, Restrepo E. ↑,
78', Angulo ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
79', Escobar Salcedo J. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Banguero A. ⚽, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. (A),
90+1', Restrepo E. 🟨,
90+1', Arango E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 1.

Llaneros SA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boyacá Chicó is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Llaneros SA is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
18.07.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
11.07.25	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
09.06.25	Llaneros SA - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTTWL
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
19.07.25	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.06.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
10.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	3:2 ✺
07.06.25	Boyacá Chicó - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
08.02.25	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	2:2
Colombian Primera B
01.11.22	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	3:0
18.10.22	Llaneros SA - Boyacá Chicó	1:0
08.10.22	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	1:1
02.06.22	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	2:1
17.05.22	Llaneros SA - Boyacá Chicó	0:0
13.02.22	Llaneros SA - Boyacá Chicó	1:2

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