Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 4

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)


	Llaneros SA		Patriotas

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.7	3.5	4.55
	1.73	3.4	4.4
	1.76	3.15	5.43	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.5
	1.68	3.42	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	4.74 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
53.4%

Draw
27.3%

Patriotas
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Llaneros SA - Patriotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Patriotas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Copete C. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Medranda J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 2 - 1, Jhon Vasquez ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, Jhon Vasquez ⚽,

Preview

Llaneros SA is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Patriotas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llaneros SA is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Copa
11.05.26	Millonarios - Llaneros SA	1:0 ✺
07.05.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Cali	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLTL
- Patriotas FC
Colombian Copa
15.05.26	Patriotas - Millonarios	2:3 ✺
11.05.26	Atlético Cali - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Patriotas - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Envigado - Patriotas	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Patriotas - Real Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
04.10.23	Llaneros SA - Patriotas	0:1
23.06.23	Llaneros SA - Patriotas	0:0
18.06.23	Patriotas - Llaneros SA	1:0
04.02.23	Patriotas - Llaneros SA	1:0

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