The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Envigado 33.5%
Draw 31.1%
Patriotas 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
27.9%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
27.4%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patriotas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Envigado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patriotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Envigado - Patriotas Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Patriotas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 80. Aristizabal J. 20. Catano J. 15. Cuervo G. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 23. Hernandez J. 9. Marulanda M. 27. Quejada J. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A. 17. Zapata E.
12. Espitia J. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 18. Angulo J. 7. Campana J. 2. Carabali 30. Gomez M. 14. Montes J. 3. Palomeque D. 22. Porras A. 5. Salazar Sandoval K. A. 6. Torres F.
Substitutes
31. Berrio F. 14. Betancurt M. 7. Dawson D. 11. Hurtado W. 22. Mendoza J. (G) 5. Norena S. 6. Palacio J. 13. Soto T. 29. Zapata D.
1. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 23. Barahona J. 8. Copete C. 9. Fernandez B. 4. Hurtado J. 19. Migueroa M. 16. Molina T. 27. Mora A. 28. Salguero Zapata C. S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Gamboa Valencia J. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Espana Alvarez R. C. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
46', Aristizabal J. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
55', 🟥,
60', 2 - 0, Cuervo G. ⚽,
63', Torres F. ↓, Figueroa F. ↑,
63', Campana J. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
Envigado is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Envigado has had a series of away games.
Envigado is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).
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Tovar A. (G) 
Hernandez J. 
Dawson D. 
Migueroa M. 
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