Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Referee: Toro S. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
India	FanCode, FanCode
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Junior Barranquilla		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	7	Watch
	1.52	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.52	4.15	7.13
	1.49	4.14	6.7	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6.5
	1.49	3.9	6.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	3.97 ↓ (3.99)	6.76 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
62.4%

Draw
23.7%

Llaneros SA
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

22.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Llaneros SA (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 3. Herrera E. 98. Pena J. 24. Pestana J. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 18. Perez K. 21. Canchimbo J. 10. Muriel L. 22. Rivas J. 70. Bacca C. (C)	1. Ortega M. (G) 7. Miranda L. 23. Moralez A. 21. Meza F. (C) 2. Mena Posada H. H. 6. Sierra M. 95. Jhon Vasquez 10. Ospina N. 77. Rincon K. 35. Caicedo K. 9. Cortes C.
Substitutes
80. Angel Bernal F. S. 77. Barrios C. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T. 30. Martinez J. (G) 9. Paiva G. 5. Rivera D. 38. Shmalbach A. 6. Villarreal D.	17. Benitez B. 15. Blanco J. 99. Castro J. 12. Loaiza J. (G) 11. Marimon L. 94. Medranda J. 3. Vidal V.
Coaches
Arias A.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Muriel L. 🟨,
36', Rincon K. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Bacca C. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Canchimbo J. ⚽, Bacca C. (A),
44', Suarez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rincon K. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
46', Ortega M. ↓, Loaiza J. ↑,
46', Suarez Y. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
55', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
61', Perez K. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
65', Cortes C. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
66', Bacca C. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
74', Muriel L. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
74', Canchimbo J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
78', Miranda L. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
82', Moralez A. ↓, Vidal V. ↑,
90+1', Rios J. 🟨,
90+2', Gutierrez T. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Junior is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Llaneros	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Llaneros SA - the odds 6.35 are the expected chance of winning is 14.71%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTLW
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Deportivo Cali - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
30.03.26	Llaneros SA - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	América de Cali - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
29.08.25	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	4:0
16.03.25	Llaneros SA - Junior Barranquilla	0:1

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