Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 19

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday


	Llantwit Major		Barry Town United

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.46
	4.87	4.23	1.49
	5.35	4.4	1.46
	5.2	4.3	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (3.49)	4.26 ↑ (3.66)	1.47 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
17.6%

Draw
21.2%

Barry Town United
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

23.7%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

22.2%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llantwit Major's form might have worsened.

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llantwit Major, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Llantwit Major - Barry Town United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barry Town will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Recent matches Llantwit Major is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barry Town is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Barry Town have a series of home games.

In this match Barry Town is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Llantwit Major won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
27.12.22	Barry Town United - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
06.12.22	Goytre United - Llantwit Major	4:3 ✺
26.11.22	Llantwit Major - Cambrian United	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Llantwit Major - Swansea University	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW
- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru South
27.12.22	Barry Town United - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
06.12.22	Barry Town United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Barry Town United - Carmarthen Town	1:0 ✺
18.11.22	Cambrian United - Barry Town United	1:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
12.11.22	Barry Town United - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.12.22	Barry Town United - Llantwit Major	2:1

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