Match Info

Cymru South - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Ynyshir Albions

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.65
	1.58	3.97	4.6
	1.75	3.78	4.23	Watch
	1.61	3.88	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	3.88 ↑ (3.78)	4.68 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
56.7%

Draw
23.7%

Ynyshir Albions
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ynyshir Albions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ynyshir Albions than the current prediction. (+2%)

Llantwit Major - Ynyshir Albions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Bevan L. (Pen),
40', 2 - 0, Bevan L. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Jones S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

In recent matches, Llantwit Major has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ynyshir Albions is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Llantwit Major is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llantwit Major won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Llantwit Major - Cardiff Draconians	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Llantwit Major - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLTW
- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin	0:5 ✺
13.09.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ynyshir Albions	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Afan Lido	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Cambrian United - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL

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