Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Llerenense		Jaraíz

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.6
	1.89	3.3	3.75
	2	3.3	4.21
	1.91	3.25	3.88	Watch
	1.97	3.62	3.52
	1.89	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	3.79 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
48.2%

Draw
27.4%

Jaraíz
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Llerenense - Jaraíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sanchez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Yoni ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Cordero A. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

Llerenense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jaraíz is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Llerenense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llerenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.05.25	Llerenense - Santa Amalia	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Calamonte - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Llerenense - Montijo	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Villafranca - Llerenense	1:4 ✺
12.04.25	Llerenense - Moralo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.05.25	Jaraíz - Montijo	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Villafranca - Jaraíz	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Jaraíz - Moralo	6:1 ✺
20.04.25	Diocesano - Jaraíz	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Jaraíz - Azuaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.10.24	Jaraíz - Llerenense	2:2

Llerenense - Jaraíz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide