Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: RZD Arena (Moscow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.51	4.12
	2.02	3.61	4.13	Watch
	1.92	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.07)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	3.95 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
48.1%

Draw
27.9%

Baltika Kaliningrad
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.3%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baltika Kaliningrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Lokomotiv Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 45. Silyanov A. 85. Morozov E. 59. Pogostnov E. 3. Lucas Fasson 25. Prutsev D. 93. Karpukas A. 32. Vera L. 7. Bakaev Z. 10. Vorobyev D. 19. Rudenko A.	44. Lyubakov E. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 16. Andrade K. (C) 21. Anderson E. 23. Beveev M. 8. Mendel A. 10. Petrov I. 4. Gassama N. 73. Petrov M. 18. Derik Lacerda 15. Yenne T.
Substitutes
74. Chevardin D. 90. Godyaev D. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 99. Myalkovskiy R. 24. Nenakhov M. 9. Pinyaev S. 2. Ramirez C. 14. Saltykov N. 8. Sarveli V. 88. Shchetinin M. 94. Timofeev A. 16. Veselov D. (G)	26. Belikov I. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 69. Manelov I. 5. Mourid A. 90. Offor C. 42. Pospelov V. 68. Ryadno M. 36. Tsitsilin A. (G)
Coaches
Galaktionov M.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Rudenko A. ⚽,
12', Andrade K. 🟥,
17', Pogostnov E. 🟨,
23', Pogostnov E. ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Derik Lacerda ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
60', Yenne T. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
60', Petrov M. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
64', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
65', Morozov E. 🟨,
66', Petrov I. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Rudenko A. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
72', Petrov I. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
72', Mendel A. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
78', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
83', Bakaev Z. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
83', Vera L. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
84', Gassama N. 🟨,
90+2', Beveev M. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 4.

Lokomotiv has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baltika is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Baltika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lokomotiv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lokomotiv: Batrakov A. (Yellow Cards) Nyamsi G. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Baltika: Borisko M. (Inactive) Civic E. (Red Card) Filin A. (Inactive) Titkov N. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84% Baltika: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11
12	Lokomotiv Moscow	10	2	4	4	13:11	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Moscow - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Baltika Kaliningrad - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.36%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
01.05.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTWT
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
02.05.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
23.10.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:2
Russian Premier League
16.08.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
13.08.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:0
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	4:1
Russian Premier League
25.05.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:3
Russian Cup
14.03.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 penalties
28.11.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:2

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