The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baltika Kaliningrad 46.9%
Draw 29.4%
Lokomotiv Moscow 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
27.3%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
25.4%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baltika Kaliningrad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baltika (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Lokomotiv (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Baltika (votes: 1 - 50%). Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Latyshonok E. (G) 22. Beveev M. 2. Varatynov S. 24. Mouyokolo L. 21. Anderson E. 4. Gassama N. 42. Pospelov V. 8. Mendel A. (C) 5. Mourid A. 11. Titkov N. 9. Offor C.
1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 85. Morozov E. 5. Nyamsi G. 23. Montes C. 3. Lucas Fasson 7. Bakaev Z. 6. Babkin S. 75. Eremeev I. 77. Mostovoy A. 19. Rudenko A. 9. Pinyaev S.
Substitutes
26. Belikov I. 77. Civic E. 91. Gil B. 3. Kirsch I. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Moufi F. 10. Petrov I. 73. Petrov M. 68. Ryadno M. 7. Shiltsov K. 19. Shnaptsev M.
74. Chevardin D. 47. Godyaev D. 63. Golubev V. 27. Komlichenko N. 8. Kovalenko A. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 24. Nenakhov M. 59. Pogostnov E. 11. Rakov V. 17. Saltykov N. 88. Shchetinin M. 16. Veselov D. (G)
Coaches
Talalaev A.
Galaktionov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Pinyaev S. 🟨,
25', Mostovoy A. 🟨,
44', Montes C. 🟨,
45', Rudenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Offor C. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
46', Pospelov V. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
46', Montes C. ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑,
54', Anderson E. 🟨,
60', Pinyaev S. ↓, Rakov V. ↑,
60', Nyamsi G. ↓, Pogostnov E. ↑,
61', Titkov N. ↓, Moufi F. ↑,
74', Bakaev Z. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
79', Mourid A. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Mostovoy A. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
89', Mendel A. ↓, Shiltsov K. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 0.
Baltika has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lokomotiv has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Baltika has had a series of home games.
Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of away games.
Baltika might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Baltika: Filin A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lokomotiv: Komlichenko N.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84% Baltika: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Baltika
9
3
2
4
14:12
2
11
12
Lokomotiv Moscow
10
2
4
4
13:11
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Moscow - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Latyshonok E. (G) 
Mouyokolo L. 
Anderson E. 
Gassama N. 
Mourid A. 
Offor C. 
Nyamsi G. 
Montes C. 
Lucas Fasson 
Civic E. 
Gil B. 
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