Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)


	Londrina		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.85	2.95
	2.48	2.85	3.05
	2.69	2.89	3.17
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.62	2.88	3.05	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)	3 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
36.6%

Draw
32.4%

Chapecoense
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	35.7%	0%

Londrina - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Londrina: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neneca (G) 2. Fabricio Baiano 4. Gabriel 22. Rafael Vaz 6. Marcos Pedro 5. Joao Paulo (C) 8. Moises Gaucho 7. Paulinho Moccelin 10. Higor Leite 11. Iago Dias 9. Ze Santos	1. Airton (C) 32. Rodrigo Freitas 4. Bruno Leonardo 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Cristiano 31. Douglas Borel 55. Gustavo Cazanotti 7. Giovanni Pavani 88. Bruno Nazario 97. Marco Antonio 17. Kayke Rodrigues
Substitutes
14. Ariel 16. Franca I. 13. Garraty 3. Guilherme Lacerda 21. Jonas 15. Luan Freitas 19. Lucas Coelho 12. Lucas Frigeri (G) 23. Peu 18. Rodrigo Alves 17. Victor Hugo 20. Vinicius Jau	10. Alisson Farias 22. Bruno 51. Carlos Eduardo (G) 70. Dudu Vieira 44. Gabriel Xavier 28. Joao Igor 8. Kaio Mendes 35. Lucas Alves 80. Mancha 29. Marcinho 33. Mauricio
Coaches
Souza E.	Gilmar Pozzo

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Londrina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chapecoense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chapecoense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Londrina: Clayton (Injury) Garraty (Injury)

There will not play in Chapecoense: Leo (Injury) Mauricio (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Londrina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
29.07.23	ABC - Londrina	0:0 ✺
24.07.23	Londrina - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina	3:0 ✺
15.07.23	Londrina - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Guarani - Londrina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLWL
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
29.07.23	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
24.07.23	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
18.07.23	Chapecoense - Ituano	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
30.06.23	Tombense - Chapecoense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.04.23	Chapecoense - Londrina	3:0
10.09.22	Londrina - Chapecoense	2:1
05.07.22	Chapecoense - Londrina	0:3

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