Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 30 June 2023, Friday

Location: Almeidão (Tombos)


	Tombense		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.05	3.05	3.7
	2.29	3.06	3.7
	2	2.88	3.6
	2.22	3.06	3.56	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	3.03 ↓ (3.04)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
43.1%

Draw
30.6%

Chapecoense
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	30.8%	38.5%

Tombense - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 20. Pedro Costa 3. Wesley 4. Augusto 6. Egidio (C) 8. Joao Pedro 10. Matheus Frizzo 7. Keke 9. Fernandao 11. Marcelinho 5. Pierre	98. Tiepo (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 30. Rafael Ribeiro 32. Rodrigo Freitas 6. Cristiano 5. Pablo Oliveira (C) 25. Siles P. 7. Giovanni Pavani 88. Bruno Nazario 77. Richard 99. Darnlei
Substitutes
19. Alex Sandro 22. Batiz K. 17. Daniel Amorim 16. Emerson 15. Guilherme Santos 13. Kevin 12. Leo Lang (G) 23. Luis Felipe 21. Luiz Fernando 18. Mederos F. 26. Paulo Vitor (G) 14. Ze Vitor	10. Alisson Farias 22. Bruno 4. Bruno Leonardo 23. Cleylton 19. Diego Coser 94. Felipe Ferreira 12. Joao Paulo (G) 35. Lucas Alves 80. Mancha 13. Neto 15. Ronei
Coaches
Burse J.	Gilmar Pozzo

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 16).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Tombense will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Tombense: Kleiton (Injury) Roger Carvalho (Injury)

There will not play in Chapecoense: Douglas Borel (Injury) Leo (Injury) Mauricio (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
27.06.23	Vila Nova - Tombense	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Juventude - Tombense	1:2 ✺
06.06.23	Tombense - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Botafogo SP - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWLT
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
27.06.23	Chapecoense - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Chapecoense - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
09.06.23	ABC - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
06.06.23	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
02.06.23	Ceará - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.10.22	Chapecoense - Tombense	3:2
09.07.22	Tombense - Chapecoense	2:1

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