Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD) (Londrina)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Londrina		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.10	2.30	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.25
	2.85	3.15	2.48	Watch
	3.26	3.26	2.38
	3	3.18	2.4	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.40
	3.10	3.10	2.35	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.4)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	2.36 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
30.7%

Draw
29.7%

Criciúma
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

29.5%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Londrina - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 15. Gabriel Lacerda 4. Wallace (C) 33. Kevyn 5. Tarik 17. Joao Coni 32. Joao Tavares 96. Thalis 28. Herbert 99. Igor Bahia	32. Airton (G) 6. Marcinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 14. Ronald Lopes 41. Jean Irmer 7. Fellipe Mateus 10. Jhonata Robert 9. Nicolas 91. Otero R.
Substitutes
13. Andre Dhominique 44. Caio Rodrigues 55. Chumbinho 27. Guilherme Cachoeira 21. Henrique M. 18. Juninho 30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 11. Pablo Dyego 3. Victor Feitosa 7. Vitinho Mota 23. Willian Pottker	34. Bruno Alves 37. Cesar Martins 5. Eduardo 8. Gui Lobo 31. Hiago Alves 21. Joao Carlos 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 50. Thiaguinho 13. Waguininho 33. Yuri Tanque
Coaches
Rogerio Micale	Umberto Louzer

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Joao Tavares ↓, Chumbinho ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Nicolas ↓, Yuri Tanque ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Yuri Tanque ⚽, Jhonata Robert (A),
52', 0 - 2, Yuri Tanque ⚽, Otero R. (A),
55', Tarik ↓, Caio Rodrigues ↑,
55', Thalis ↓, Vitinho Mota ↑,
55', Joao Coni ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
58', Chumbinho 🟨,
58', Otero R. ↓, Waguininho ↑,
65', Waguininho 🟨,
68', Jean Irmer ↓, Gui Lobo ↑,
68', Igor Bahia ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
68', Jhonata Robert ↓, Romarinho ↑,
77', Ronald Lopes ↓, Eduardo ↑,
84', Gui Lobo 🟨,
87', Chumbinho 🟥,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Criciúma has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Londrina: Artur (Injury) Geovane Meurer (Injury) Gilberto (Injury) Joao Vitor (Yellow Cards) Victor Feitosa (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Londrina: Paulinho Moccelin (Muscle Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Londrina has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:23 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Londrina against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Last Results with these Odds

Londrina - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Criciúma - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.08%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
25.09.26	Vila Nova - Londrina	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Londrina - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Londrina - Ponte Preta	6:0 ✺
10.09.26	São Bernardo - Londrina	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
27.09.26	Criciúma - Avaí	3:0 ✺
22.09.26	Criciúma - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	4:0 ✺
08.09.26	Criciúma - Juventude	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Criciúma - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.06.26	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0
12.08.23	Criciúma - Londrina	2:0
01.05.23	Londrina - Criciúma	1:1
30.07.22	Londrina - Criciúma	1:1
14.04.22	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.20	Criciúma - Londrina	2:1
10.08.20	Londrina - Criciúma	0:0

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