Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)


	Londrina		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.39	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.58	2.99	3.28
	2.55	2.74	3.24	Watch
	2.62	2.95	2.87	Watch
	2.39	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.15)	2.84 ↓ (3.35)	3.12 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
37.6%

Draw
32.6%

Maringá
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Londrina's form might have worsened.

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Londrina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Londrina - Maringá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Maringá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 3. Caio Rodrigues 2. Cedric 9. Edson Carius 10. Gustavo Franca 7. Henrique 11. Iago Teles 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 4. Wallace (C)	42. Rafael William (G) 14. Buga 2. Cristovam (C) 7. Edison Negueba 5. Evanderson 10. Leo Ceara 99. Maranhao 23. Max Miller 9. Moraes 13. Tito 4. Vilar
Substitutes
22. Caio Rafael 12. Elzo Neto (G) 23. Gabriel Canela 20. Kaique 24. Lucao (G) 15. Marco Antonio 16. Rafael Soares 19. Sousa 17. Thauan 21. Vitinho 13. Yago Lincoln 18. Ze Breno	20. Bruno Cheron 30. Danielzinho 26. Fernando 6. Joao Felix 19. Julio Rodrigues 25. Neto (G) 15. Parrudo 35. Pingo 22. Raphinha 33. Rhuan 11. Robertinho
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Jorge Castilho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Moraes ⚽,
2', Moraes 🟨,
3', Iago Teles 🟨,
7', Caio Rafael 🟨,
16', Lucas Marques ↓, Sousa ↑,
25', Mauricio Junior 🟨,
32', Tito 🟨,
43', Max Miller 🟨,
45+4', Cristovam 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caio Rodrigues ↓, Yago Lincoln ↑,
46', Evanderson ↓, Pingo ↑,
61', Gustavo Franca ↓, Thauan ↑,
61', Henrique ↓, Vitinho ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Iago Teles ⚽,
68', Iago Teles ↓, Gabriel Canela ↑,
69', Leo Ceara ↓, Rhuan ↑,
69', Moraes ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
70', Pingo 🟨,
78', Max Miller ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
85', 🟨,
86', Vilar ↓, Parrudo ↑,
90', Vitinho 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Londrina won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Londrina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Londrina won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:10 (average 1.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
20.04.25	Floresta - Londrina	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Londrina - Ypiranga	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
18.03.25	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	1:3 penalties ✺
15.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Londrina - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLWW
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
20.04.25	Maringá - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guarani - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
29.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	2:1 penalties ✺
22.03.25	Maringá - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
19.03.25	Athletico Paranaense - Maringá	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
18.01.25	Londrina - Maringá	2:3
Club Friendly
13.12.24	Londrina - Maringá	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.02.24	Londrina - Maringá	3:1
12.02.23	Londrina - Maringá	1:1
23.01.22	Londrina - Maringá	2:1
11.03.21	Londrina - Maringá	1:1
20.03.19	Maringá - Londrina	1:2

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