Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Bishopsgate (Longford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Longford Town		Dundalk

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.75	1.35
	8.24	5.17	1.34
	7.23	4.29	1.42	Watch
	7.41	4.7	1.36
	5.75	4.3	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.15 ↑ (6.75)	4.64 ↑ (4.55)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Longford Town
12.9%

Draw
19.8%

Dundalk
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.3%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

19.7%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Longford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Longford Town - Dundalk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Moore K. (G) 19. Doran A. 26. Egan J. 7. George D. 5. Hand O. 18. Irhue O. 12. Manuel P. 28. Moore S. 15. Murtagh D. 20. O'Brien A. 29. Yoro E.	18. Cherrie P. (G) 4. Animasahun M. 11. Arubi G. 9. Ebbe D. 8. Groome H. 16. Kenny E. 15. Leonard V. 27. McDaid D. 12. Mulligan L. 26. Tracey S. 31. Wilson J.
Substitutes
23. Boyle R. 9. Campbell F. 1. Halwax H. (G) 14. James E. 11. Norris D. 30. O'Dowd T. 16. Robinson K. 8. Topcu E. 21. Ugbesia S.	14. Garbett N. 1. Minogue E. (G) 23. Paraschiv A. 19. Spaight S. 22. Vaughan E. 29. Vaughan R. 17. Ward K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, O'Brien A. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Kenny E. ⚽,
42', Tracey S. 🟨,
45+2', O'Brien A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Mulligan L. 🟨,
51', 2 - 1, Doran A. ⚽,
56', Ebbe D. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
57', Groome H. ↓, Paraschiv A. ↑,
57', Mulligan L. ↓, Vaughan R. ↑,
68', Murtagh D. 🟥,
71', 3 - 1, George D. ⚽,
75', Animasahun M. 🟨,
77', George D. ↓, Ugbesia S. ↑,
90+1', Leonard V. 🟨,
90+2', Manuel P. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 2, Animasahun M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longford won 1.

Longford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dundalk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Dundalk is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Longford won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Longford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Longford Town
Irish Division 1
12.09.25	University College Dublin - Longford Town	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Longford Town - Finn Harps	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Longford Town - Wexford	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Kerry - Longford Town	1:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.08.25	Shamrock Rovers - Longford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Dundalk FC
Irish Division 1
12.09.25	Dundalk - Bray Wanderers	3:1 ✺
05.09.25	Wexford - Dundalk	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dundalk - Kerry	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	Treaty United - Dundalk	0:7 ✺
08.08.25	Dundalk - Athlone Town	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
04.08.25	Dundalk - Longford Town	4:1
26.04.25	Longford Town - Dundalk	0:3
21.03.25	Dundalk - Longford Town	2:1
Club Friendly
18.01.24	Dundalk - Longford Town	0:1
Irish FAI Cup
29.07.22	Dundalk - Longford Town	4:0
Irish Premier Division
07.11.21	Dundalk - Longford Town	2:0
11.09.21	Longford Town - Dundalk	1:0

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