Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 26

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Lorca Deportiva		Muleño

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	8.75
	1.28	4.75	9.5
	1.29	4.57	8.25
	1.3	4.57	8.25
	1.27	4.85	9.65
	1.28	4.75	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	4.75 ↑ (3.6)	8.98 ↑ (8.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
70.8%

Draw
19.1%

Muleño
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

25.1%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

21.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorca Deportiva's performance.

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorca Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 5.

Recent matches Lorca Deportiva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muleño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lorca Deportiva is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.03.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Lorca Deportiva - Unión Molinense	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Caravaca - Lorca Deportiva	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.03.24	Muleño - UCAM Murcia B	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Algar - Muleño	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Muleño - Plus Ultra	1:4 ✺
25.02.24	Bullense - Muleño	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Muleño - Alcantarilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.11.23	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2
26.02.23	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	0:1
30.10.22	Lorca Deportiva - Muleño	5:1
26.01.20	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	1:3
07.09.19	Lorca Deportiva - Muleño	6:3
07.01.19	Lorca Deportiva - Muleño	0:2

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