Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
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Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
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Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Onefootball


	Paris Saint-Germain		Lorient

	1	X	2
	1.36	6	7	Watch
	1.32	5.75	8.5
	1.35	5.4	7.9	Watch
	1.36	5.88	8.58
	1.37	5.59	8.19	Watch
	1.33	5	7
	1.39	5.86	7.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.23)	5.64 ↓ (6.67)	7.76 ↓ (10.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
70.7%

Draw
17%

Lorient
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77%

14.2%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	20%	8%

Paris Saint Germain - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Lorient will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - PSG (1.94) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 50%). Lorient (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Marin R. (G) 24. Mayulu S. 4. Beraldo L. 51. Pacho W. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 8. Ruiz F. (C) 27. Fernandez D. 49. Mbaye I. 14. Doue D. 29. Barcola B.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 32. Adjei N. 3. Talbi M. 25. Faye A. 77. Katseris P. 8. Cadiou N. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 62. Avom A. 10. Pagis P. 12. Dieng B.
Substitutes
53. Cordier T. 55. Coulibaly S. 10. Dembele O. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 80. Laurendon B. (G) 5. Marquinhos 57. Mounguengue P. 87. Neves J. 33. Zaire-Emery W.	9. Bamba M. 2. Igor Silva 21. Kamara B. (G) 29. Karim D. 17. Makengo J. 28. Soumano S. 15. Tosin A. 95. Toure I. 44. Yongwa D.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Mbaye I. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Pagis P. ⚽, Katseris P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Hernandez L. 🟨,
61', Ruiz F. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
62', Mbaye I. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Zaire-Emery W. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
72', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
72', Dieng B. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
73', Avom A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
75', Doue D. ↓, Mounguengue P. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Tosin A. ⚽,
80', Katseris P. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
90+1', Yongwa D. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.

PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lorient's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Chevalier L. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Thigh Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Ramos G. (Red Card) Zabarnyi I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Muscle Injury) Le Bris T. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:17. (average 2.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.9:0.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 70.91% Lorient: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
28.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	5:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Angers - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.04.26	Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Lorient - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lyon - Lorient	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Toulouse - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
24.04.24	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4
12.08.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	0:0
30.04.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	1:3
06.11.22	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
03.04.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	5:1
22.12.21	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1

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