Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
Andorra	17:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	17:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	12:00	Caze TV
Canada	11:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	17:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:00	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	17:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	10:00	ESPN 4
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	18:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	17:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	18:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	17:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Kosovo	17:00	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	09:00	FOX One
Netherlands	17:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport Football Plus
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	11:00	ESPN 4
Peru	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	17:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	16:00	Sport TV4
Romania	18:00	Voyo
Russia	18:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	17:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	17:00	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	17:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	17:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	18:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	11:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	22:00	ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab
International	15:00	Onefootball


	Paris Saint-Germain		Lorient

	1	X	2
	1.36	6	7	Watch
	1.32	5.75	8.5
	1.35	5.4	7.9	Watch
	1.36	5.88	8.58
	1.37	5.59	8.19	Watch
	1.33	5	7
	1.39	5.86	7.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.23)	5.64 ↓ (6.67)	7.76 ↓ (10.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
70.7%

Draw
17%

Lorient
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77%

14.2%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	20%	8%

Paris Saint Germain - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Lorient will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - PSG (1.94) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 50%). Lorient (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Marin R. (G) 24. Mayulu S. 4. Beraldo L. 51. Pacho W. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 8. Ruiz F. (C) 27. Fernandez D. 49. Mbaye I. 14. Doue D. 29. Barcola B.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 32. Adjei N. 3. Talbi M. 25. Faye A. 77. Katseris P. 8. Cadiou N. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 62. Avom A. 10. Pagis P. 12. Dieng B.
Substitutes
53. Cordier T. 55. Coulibaly S. 10. Dembele O. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 80. Laurendon B. (G) 5. Marquinhos 57. Mounguengue P. 87. Neves J. 33. Zaire-Emery W.	9. Bamba M. 2. Igor Silva 21. Kamara B. (G) 29. Karim D. 17. Makengo J. 28. Soumano S. 15. Tosin A. 95. Toure I. 44. Yongwa D.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Mbaye I. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Pagis P. ⚽, Katseris P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Hernandez L. 🟨,
61', Ruiz F. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
62', Mbaye I. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Zaire-Emery W. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
72', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
72', Dieng B. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
73', Avom A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
75', Doue D. ↓, Mounguengue P. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Tosin A. ⚽,
80', Katseris P. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
90+1', Yongwa D. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.

PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lorient's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Chevalier L. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Thigh Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Ramos G. (Red Card) Zabarnyi I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Muscle Injury) Le Bris T. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:17. (average 2.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	8	5	2	1	16:9	7	17
9	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7:6	1	12

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 79.14% Lorient: 0.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
28.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	5:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Angers - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.04.26	Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Lorient - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lyon - Lorient	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Toulouse - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
24.04.24	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4
12.08.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	0:0
30.04.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	1:3
06.11.22	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
03.04.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	5:1
22.12.21	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1

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