Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Round 28

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lakeview Park (Loughgall)

Referee: McGonigle S. (Nir)


	Loughgall		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.93
	3.45	3.25	1.94
	3.82	3.71	1.95
	3.75	3.61	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2
	3.68	3.52	1.9
	3.45	3.25	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.21)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	1.94 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughgall
25.6%

Draw
26.9%

Glenavon
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.6%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loughgall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Glenavon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Loughgall - Glenavon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Loughgall will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Glenavon will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gartside N. (G) 18. Balde A. 25. Carroll J. 19. Francis L. 13. Gibson J. 21. Magee B. 30. McCaffrey F. 32. McLaughlin K. 12. Norton R. (C) 7. Pablo Andrade 27. Towe A.	12. Ryan T. (G) 17. Atherton C. 10. Campbell P. 8. Malone J. 18. McKeown B. (C) 20. Murphy H. 22. O'Connor M. 3. O'Sullivan L. 11. Quinn N. 7. Snoddy M. 2. Toure D.
Substitutes
20. Mahon R. 29. McCloskey C. 16. McMenemy L. 4. Murdock B. 17. O'Brien M. 1. Turker B. (G) 8. Waide R.	13. Byrne M. (G) 27. Carlin S. 33. Heaney A. 15. Lynch H. 29. McGovern P. 21. Prendergast A. 59. Wilson B.
Coaches
Smith D.	McLaughlin P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Atherton C. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Malone J. ⚽,
44', Gibson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Campbell P. 🟨,
64', McLaughlin K. ↓, Mahon R. ↑,
64', Norton R. 🟨,
72', McCaffrey F. ↓, Waide R. ↑,
80', Norton R. ↓, McMenemy L. ↑,
84', Atherton C. ↓, McGovern P. ↑,
84', Campbell P. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
90+1', O'Connor M. ↓, Prendergast A. ↑,

Preview

Loughgall is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Loughgall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Loughgall have a series of guest games.

Glenavon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Loughgall won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 2:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Ards - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
26.02.25	Loughgall - Larne	1:4 ✺
22.02.25	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Linfield - Loughgall	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Dollingstown - Loughgall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLW
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
22.02.25	Glenavon - Crusaders	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Larne - Glenavon	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Glenavon - Cliftonville	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Glenavon - Derry City	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
02.11.24	Loughgall - Glenavon	3:0
07.09.24	Glenavon - Loughgall	2:2
13.04.24	Loughgall - Glenavon	3:1
23.03.24	Glenavon - Loughgall	1:2
18.11.23	Glenavon - Loughgall	2:0
25.08.23	Loughgall - Glenavon	2:2
Northern Irish League Cup
04.10.22	Glenavon - Loughgall	1:2

Loughgall - Glenavon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide