Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Louisville City		Atlanta United II

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6.25
	1.35	4.6	5.75
	1.34	4.9	5.8
	1.39	5.12	6.65
	1.35	5.15	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	4.9 ↑ (3.93)	6.2 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
66.8%

Draw
18.5%

Atlanta United II
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.

Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Louisville City - Atlanta United II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Louisville City has the most likely position - 1 (19.23%), has project points - 58, has currently - 0, has a good chance of playoffs (84%), has a good chance of qtrs (57%), has a chance of semis (33%), has a chance of final (18%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 11 (10.92%), has project points - 40, has currently - 0, has a chance of playoffs (32%), has a small chance of qtrs (14%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 15, small importance 17, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 0.

In this match Louisville City is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
Club Friendly
16.02.22	Louisville City - El Paso Locomotive	5:2 ✺
USL Championship
20.11.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	3:2 ET ✺
13.11.21	Louisville City - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Louisville City - Miami	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW
- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
20.10.21	Tulsa - Atlanta United II	4:0 ✺
16.10.21	Memphis 901 - Atlanta United II	4:2 ✺
13.10.21	Sporting Kansas City II - Atlanta United II	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Indy Eleven - Atlanta United II	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.09.21	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	1:1
17.07.21	Louisville City - Atlanta United II	2:0
06.06.21	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	1:0
24.04.21	Louisville City - Atlanta United II	2:0
11.08.19	Louisville City - Atlanta United II	5:1
15.03.19	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	0:1
29.09.18	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	1:4

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